Re: 2045: The Year Man Becomes Immortal

[Louie Angulo <louie.angulo@googlemail.com>]

LOL! brilliant Jeff;-)

On Tue, Feb 22, 2011 at 7:16 AM, Jeff Larson <jeff.larson@sailpoint.com> 
wrote:
>> I just feel the proof is in the pudding. If machines
>> (given their current architecture) could be made to think,
>> we'd see thinking machines by now.
> I'm also a skeptic.  Oh, I suppose I could believe in the theoretical
> possibility of The Singularity, but not Kurzweil's timeline.
> 2045...that's 34 years away.  Coincidentally that's about how long
> I've been seriously involved with computers and we are not closer in
> any meaningful way to machines "thinking" now than we were 34 years
> ago.  And please don't bore me with parlor tricks like Watson and
> language translation.  It isn't about processor speed, memory size, or
> fact databases.
> So, in the next 34 years human programmers are going to become so
> freaking awesome that they'll finally know how to create those
> self-programming systems they've been promising me since the 80's so I
> can retire and spend my days in a virtual reality pod with Felicia
> Day?  Bring it on!  I'll probably be dead before then, but surely
> there will be significant demonstrable milestones every ten years?
> Along the way if you could make Windows not suck that would be great
> too.
> I know there are some extremely smart people engaged in artificial
> intelligence research and I wish them well.  For a time I worked at a
> relatively prestigious research consortium and the thing that impressed
> me most about the AI researchers was their ability to convince people
> to throw money at them.  Time will tell.
> But hey, we've got Angry Birds now so at least I can die happy.
> Jeff
>