>Years ago, 
I read a book (hah!) I think it was called "The Emperors New Mind." It's a good 
read on the differences between the human mind and 
computers.
 Penrose's thesis is widely rejected these 
days.
 
>The binary process that is the basis of computing does not approximate 
the associative capabilities of the human mind. 
Those are different levels 
of "computing."  Apples and oranges.
 
>I'll add that extrapolating growth into the future is pretty much 
always wrong.
Except for the fact that Kurzweil is nearly always correct.
>The advances in AI during that time have been small
Have you seen the phones that translate languages in real time? 
 
t
----- Original Message ----- 
  
  
  Sent: Monday, February 21, 2011 3:36 
  PM
  Subject: Re: 2045: The Year Man Becomes 
  Immortal
  
I don't buy it. Computers work differently than the human mind. 
  Speed them up as fast as you want, but you still won't have the human 
  mind.
Years ago, I read a book (hah!) I think it was called "The 
  Emperors New Mind." It's a good read on the differences between the human mind 
  and computers.
The binary process that is the basis of computing does 
  not approximate the associative capabilities of the human mind. 
I'll 
  add that extrapolating growth into the future is pretty much always 
  wrong.
Artificial Intelligence has been a chief goal of computer 
  science research for the past 20 years or more. The advances in AI during that 
  time have been small. I have a friend who used to work at a game company. For 
  the higest levels of the game, the computer opponent could "cheat" and make 
  several moves a turn. That was the best approach they had to challenge skilled 
  humans.
  
-- 
Art 
  Simon
simart@gmail.com
myspace 
  [dot] com/artsimon